Global wealth and power are shifting eastwards. Three of the world’s four largest economies are in Asia, and the fourth, the United States, is a Pacific power. By 2025, two thirds of the world’s population will live in Asia, and only around a tenth in the West. This transformation is reshaping the global distribution of power, with profound implications for war and peace in the twenty-first century.
The Lowy Institute Asia Power Index is an analytical tool for tracking changes in the distribution of power in the region. It aims to sharpen the debate on geopolitics in Asia.
The Index ranks 25 countries and territories in terms of their capacity to influence regional events, using 114 indicators across eight thematic measures of power: economic resources and relationships, military capability and defence networks, diplomatic and cultural influence, as well as resilience and future trends.
Join the expert panel: Hervé Lemahieu, Director of the Asian Power and Diplomacy Program; Bonnie Bley, Research Fellow; Richard McGregor, Senior Fellow, and journalist and broadcaster Geraldine Doogue, for a discussion on the method and findings of the largest comparative assessment of power in the region ever undertaken, followed by a Q&A.
CHAIR: Geraldine Doogue, Journalist and broadcaster, ABC
Geraldine Doogue is a renowned Australian journalist and broadcaster with experience in print, television and radio. While originally planning a career as a schoolteacher after completing her Arts degree, in 1972 Geraldine applied on an impulse for a journalism cadetship with The West Australian instead. During her career with both the ABC and commercial media she has won two Penguin Awards for excellence in broadcasting from the Television Society of Australia and a United Nations Media Peace Prize. In 2000 Geraldine was awarded a Churchill Fellowship for social and cultural reporting. In 2003, she was recognised with an Officer in the Order of Australia for services to the community and media. Geraldine tackles a wide range of subjects with rigour, optimism, humour and warmth.
Richard McGregor, Senior Fellow, Lowy Institute
Richard McGregor is an award-winning journalist and author with unrivalled experience reporting on the top-level politics and economies of east Asia, primarily China and Japan. He was the Financial Times bureau chief in Beijing and Shanghai between 2000 and 2009, and headed the Washington office for four years from 2011. Prior to joining the FT, he was the chief political correspondent and China and Japan correspondent for The Australian. His book The Party: The Secret World of China’s Communist Rulers won numerous awards, including the Asia Society in New York award in 2011 for best book on Asia. His latest book, Asia’s Reckoning: China, Japan, and the Fate of US Power in the Pacific Century, was described as “shrewd and knowing” by The Wall Street Journal, and a “compelling and impressive” read by The Economist. He was a fellow at the Wilson Center in 2015 and a visiting scholar at the Sigur Center at George Washington University in 2016. He has lectured widely, in the United States and elsewhere, on Chinese politics and Asia.
Bonnie Bley, Research Fellow, Lowy Institute
Bonnie Bley is a Research Fellow at the Lowy Institute, where she works on the Lowy Institute Asia Power Index. The project is the largest comparative assessment of power in the region ever undertaken. Prior to joining the Lowy Institute, Bonnie worked at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) in London, where she was responsible for web content and social media strategies, notably at the 2016 IISS Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore. She furthermore worked on a range of IISS products, including the Military Balance, Armed Conflict Database and Strategic Comments. Bonnie earned first-class honours in European Social and Political Studies at University College London (UCL). She also studied at the University of Bologna.
Hervé Lemahieu, Director, Asian Power and Diplomacy Program, Lowy Institute
Hervé Lemahieu is Director of the Asian Power and Diplomacy Program at the Lowy Institute. His expertise is in the political economy and foreign policy of countries in mainland Southeast Asia and the broader Asia-Pacific region. His analysis has featured or been quoted in the Financial Times, Bloomberg, Foreign Policy, El País, Bangkok Post, The Straits Times, South China Morning Post, and Nikkei Asian Review. Prior to joining the Lowy Institute, Hervé was Research Associate for Political Economy and Security at the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). He started his career at Oxford Analytica where he was responsible for the consultancy’s analysis of the Mekong region. Hervé earned an MSc in Global Governance and Diplomacy from the University of Oxford, and an MA in International Relations and Modern History from the University of St Andrews.